Scottish Football Analysis and Betting Advice Sat 9th Feb – Paisley Saints Too Big For Visit To Aberdeen

It was a case of deja vu again last week with half of our selections being postponed, the games involving Cowdenbeath and Brechin fell foul of the Scottish winter.

It was however good news elsewhere with two winning wagers on my best bet Falkirk more than making up for the one point loss on Inverness. We were very unlucky with the Inverness bet as two of their key players captain Ritchie Foran and Andrew Shinnie both went off injured in the first half.

Moving on to this weekend, when hopefully the weather will relent and we get a full card of fixtures:

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SPL

My team Dundee kicks things off this weekend with a Friday night fixture against Ross County. Only three goals have been scored in the two fixtures between the teams this season and I can see another tight game here.

I wouldn’t put anyone off backing the draw, but this kind of bet isn’t everyone’s cup of tea therefore I wont make this an official pick. I will however have a small bet myself.

I’ll be working at the game between Dundee United and Hearts on Saturday which promises to be an interesting match with United under new management and an improving young Jambos side.

St Mirren DNB to beat Aberdeen – 2/1 advised earlier now 7/4, 1 point.

The reasons for the bet were given earlier in the week but just to refresh it’s a case of a red hot Paisley Saints team with an on loan striker scoring for fun up against a stuttering Aberdeen side with no wins in their last 4 games and who are low in confidence.

I was also interested in Motherwell at Kilmarnock however the price on the Steelmen has shortened and I don’t see much value now. Kilmarock have lost half their home games and didn’t impress me recently at Dundee.

Division 1

Hamilton to beat Dunfermline – 11/5, 1 point

The Accies knocked the Pars out of the Scottish Cup last week with a comfortable 2-0 victory and rate tremendous value to follow up that win over a Dunfermline side who have totally hit the buffers.

Hamilton’s form of late has been excellent only losing once in their last 6 games, that against an in form Dumbarton. Striker Stevie May on loan from St Johnstone is in fine scoring form and will again be a handful for the Pars defence.

There are major financial difficulties at Dunfermline and this seems to be reflecting in their results which has seen then lose 5 of their last 6 games, including 3 home defeats on the bounce.

Division 2

East Fife -0.25 to beat Forfar – 13/15, 2pts

The Fifers have been in decent home form since the arrival of new boss Billy Brown and should be too good for a Forfar side whose away record this season has been disappointing.

The Methil men score plenty of goals but can concede at the other end too and there could be plenty of goals in this game. The Forfar loons have lost their last 5 games on the road and were totally lacking creativity in a game I saw at Arbroath a couple of weeks back.

East Fife also won the first fixture 3-0 and the reverse game at Forfar saw them lead 2-0 before being reduced to ten men and eventually losing 3-2.

Division 3

Berwick to beat Clyde – 19/20, 2pts

I think there’s a bit of value on the wee Rangers who are a reliable side at home against the lesser lights of Division 3. Their recent form is good too with a win at Montrose and a draw at Peterhead backing up two good home wins over East Stirling and Annan.

Clyde’s away record is poor and my contact in the west has told me that the bully wee can be opposed at present.

Annan DNB to beat Elgin – 6/4, 1pt

The Galabankies have totally turned their season round since the recent departure of manager Harry Cairney and look a good bet to at least avoid defeat at struggling Elgin.

Annan’s only recent defeat came against runaway leaders Rangers and enjoyed a comfortable 2-0 a win over Elgin a few weeks back. Elgin themselves were looking good to challenge for second place this season but the wheels have come off in recent weeks with no wins in their last 6 games which has seen the highlanders concede 13 goals in their last 3 home games, 4 of which came against lowly East Stirling 2 games ago.

Annan came away with a point on their last visit to Elgin when struggling for points and rate good value in this one.

Good luck this weekend.